Long term weather forecast for September 2022

In the Northern Federal District the estimated average temperature in September — +8…+11 °C, which is 1-2 degrees higher than normal. Expected rainfall — 30-70 mm, which is close to the usual, moisture deficiency is not excluded in the Murmansk region. 

At the beginning of the month without significant precipitation, the daytime temperature is +17 … +22 ° С, in the Vologda region up to +25 degrees, in the Murmansk — +14…+19 °С. By the middle of the first ten days — short-term rains, daytime temperature +12…+17 °C, in the Murmansk region — +9…+14 degrees. At the end of the first decade, short-term rains are not excluded in places — in the afternoon +13…+18 °С.

By the middle of the month — short-term rains, the maximum daytime temperature is +11…+16 °С. At the end of the second decade, there will be short rains, the daytime temperature will be from 10 to 15 degrees Celsius. By the beginning of the third decade, there will be short rains in places and it will be cool, +7…+12 degrees in the daytime, frosts are possible at night. September will end with moderately warm weather, without significant precipitation, daytime temperature +9…+14 °C, in the Vologda Oblast the air will warm up to +17 degrees.

The coldest September was in Arkhangelsk in 1993. The average monthly temperature was +4.2 degrees, which is 3.6 degrees lower than usual. This year, the lowest temperature of the whole month was also recorded, on the 3rd day the maximum temperature reached +12.9 degrees. There was also a sharp transition from summer heat to autumn cold. The hottest day in September was observed in 1951, on the 3rd day the air warmed up to +27.7 degrees. But by the end of the first decade it got colder and the daytime temperature did not exceed +10 °C. Last year's September was colder and drier than usual, but paradoxically, the warmest day was recorded on the 28th, when the maximum temperature after a night frost reached +13.8 degrees.

In the Central Black Earth region the expected average monthly temperature is —+14…+15 °С, which is 1-2 degrees higher than usual. Estimated rainfall — 35-45 mm, which is slightly less than the norm.

In early September, dry and warm weather is expected: daytime temperature +22…+27 °С. By the end of the first ten days — intermittent rain, +13…+18 degrees in the afternoon. 

In mid-September it will be cloudy with clearings, it will rain, during the day the maximum temperature will be +11…+16 °С. At the end of the second decade, the weather will improve, the daily temperature will be +16…+21 °С. 

At the beginning of the third ten-day period — light rain in places, daytime temperature +14…+19 °С. September will end with dry and warm weather, during the day the air will warm up to +19…+24 °С.

September 2020 was abnormally warm and dry in Kursk. The average monthly temperature reached +16.8 degrees, which is 4.1 degrees above the norm. On September 1, in the afternoon, the air warmed up to +33 degrees, which was a month's record. But last year's month was colder than usual, with slightly more than normal rainfall. Several warm and serene days turned out at the beginning of the second decade, when the air warmed up to +24…+26 degrees. On the 18th and 19th there were heavy rains, and the daytime temperature did not exceed +10 °C. 

In the Volga-Vyatka region and on the Middle Volgathe estimated average monthly temperature will be +13…+14 °C, which is 1-2 degrees above the norm. Expected rainfall — 35-50 mm, moisture deficiency is likely in places. 

Dry and warm weather is expected in the first days of the month, daytime temperature — +24…+29 °С. At the end of the first ten days, there will be short rains in some places, thunderstorms are possible, in the afternoon +15…+20 degrees 

By the middle of the month, intermittent rains are possible, the maximum temperature during the day — +13…+18 °С. At the end of the second ten-day period without precipitation, the daily temperature is +16…+21 °С. By the beginning of the third decade — light rains, during the day from 11 to 16 degrees Celsius, at night on the soil in some places slight frosts. September will end with dry and warm weather, during the day the air will warm up to +18…+23 °C.

The beginning of September 1957 in Nizhny Novgorod was hot. On September 1 and 4, the temperature rose to +30.5 and +30 degrees, respectively, which became daily records. 

But last year's month turned out to be more than 2 degrees colder than usual. Only for a short time Indian summer came: on the 13th and 14th the air warmed up to +20…+22 degrees. Since the middle of the month it has become sharply colder, there have been light rains, night frosts have been noted in the north of the region, the daytime temperature has not exceeded +8…+10 degrees. 

On the Lower Volga expected average temperature of the month — +16…+19 °С, which is one degree above the norm. Estimated rainfall — 15-25 mm, which is less than the average long-term values, an excess of moisture is likely in the Astrakhan region.

In the first days of the month, warm and dry weather is expected, the temperature during the day will be +24 … +29 ° С, in some places air warms up to +33 degrees. By the end of the first ten days, short-term thunderstorms are likely, during the day the maximum temperature will be +17 … +22 ° С. 

In the middle of the month — no significant precipitation, daytime temperature +16…+21 degrees, in the Astrakhan region up to +24 °С. By the beginning of the third ten-day period — intermittent rain in places, maximum temperature +14…+19 °С in the daytime, slight frosts on the soil at night in the north of the Saratov region. The month will end with dry and warm weather, during the day the maximum temperature will be +20…+25 °С. +18…+20 °С, which is one degree higher than usual. Estimated rainfall — 15-20 mm, which is less than the average long-term values.

In the first days of the month, dry and hot weather is expected, the prevailing temperature during the day is +27…+32 degrees. By the end of the first ten days — in some places intermittent rain and thunderstorms, in the daytime the maximum temperature is +19…+24 °С. 

In the middle of the month there will be light rains in some places, in the afternoon +21…+26 °С. The third decade will please with warm and dry weather, the prevailing daily temperature will be +24…+29 degrees.

The record wet September was observed in the resort of Sochi in 2013. During the month, 526 mm fell, or more than 4 times more than usual. Especially heavy showers occurred from 4 to 7 September, when more than 300 mm fell. The temperature was more than 2 degrees below normal. 

Only one day — September 14 — the thermometer reached +30 degrees. But after 2 years, in 2015, the first month of autumn continued the hot summer. The average monthly temperature reached +24.1 °C, which is 4.1 degrees higher than usual. Precipitation was only 14 mm, which is 11% of the monthly norm. Throughout the month, the weather was hot with a temperature of +25…+30 °C, on some days the temperature overcame the 30-degree mark. Last year's month turned out to be cool and humid, especially rainy weather was observed in the second half of September, and the daytime temperature did not exceed +18…+23 degrees.

In Crimea Estimated average September temperature — +18…+19 °С, which is one degree above the norm. Expected Rainfall — 10-20 mm, which is less than the average long-term values. 

At the beginning of the month, dry and hot weather is expected, the daytime temperature will be +28…+33 degrees. By the middle of the first decade, short-term thunderstorms are not excluded, it will become cooler: +21 … +26 °С in the afternoon. At the end of the first decade without precipitation, daily temperature — +23…+28 °С. 

By mid-September, on some days, small short-term rains are expected, the maximum daytime temperature is +19 … + 24 ° С. At the end of the second decade the weather will improve, during the day the air will warm up to +22…+27 °C. The third ten-day period is expected to be dry and warm, the prevailing daily temperature will be +23…+28 degrees, in the middle of the period a 30-degree heat is not excluded.

The warmest and driest September was in 1994 and 2015. The average monthly temperature exceeded the norm by more than 4 degrees, and precipitation was less than 10% of the norm. On September 19, 1994, the air in Simferopol warmed up to +37.2 degrees, which became a monthly record. In 1996, September turned out to be extremely cold and rainy, in Simferopol 155 mm fell, which was more than 4 times higher than the climatic norm. Last year's September did not indulge in heat, it became significantly colder from the first days of the month, thunderstorms passed. Only in the middle of the month was the velvet season with daytime temperatures of +23…+28 degrees. The third decade of the month turned out to be colder than normal and with excess precipitation. 

In the Uralsexpected average monthly temperature — +11…+16 °C, which is 1-2 degrees higher than normal. Estimated rainfall — 20-60 mm, which is somewhat smaller than usual.

In the first days of the month it is dry and very warm, in the daytime +23…+28 °C, in the South Urals up to +30 degrees. By the end of the first decade, it will rain, in some places there will be thunderstorms and it will become much colder during the day to +9 … +14 degrees, frosts may appear at night. In the second decade — unstable weather, intermittent rains and daytime temperature fluctuations from +5…+10 °C to +11…+16 °C, in the South Urals it is 3-5 degrees warmer. By the end of the month, dry and warm weather will set in, during the day the maximum temperature will be +18…+23 degrees. 

September in Orenburg in 1957 was a record warm and dry. The average monthly temperature was +18.4 degrees, which is 4.7 degrees higher than usual. Precipitation fell 13 mm, or 38% of the norm. The hottest day in September was recorded on the 5th day in 2003, when the maximum temperature reached +38 degrees. Last year's month turned out to be somewhat cooler than the norm, the amount of precipitation is close to normal. Hot weather was observed only at the beginning of September, then there were short rains and it got significantly colder. On September 20, in the morning, the temperature reached an absolute minimum, in the morning it froze to -1.7 degrees. 

In the south of Western Siberiaestimated average monthly temperature — about 10 °C, which is within the average long-term values. Expected rainfall — 30-50 mm, which is close to normal, in some places there may be excess moisture. 

In early September intermittent rain: night temperature — +8…+13 °С, afternoon — +17…+22 °С. By the middle of the first decade without precipitation, at night — +2…+7 °С, light frosts in some places, +11…+16 °С. On September 6-8, it will warm up to +20…+25 degrees during the day, no precipitation is expected. By the beginning of the second ten-day period it is cool, frosts at night, +10…+15 °С in the daytime, light rains in places. In the second half of the second decade, it will warm up to +18…+23 degrees, some days there will be light rains. By the beginning of the third ten-day period, it will get colder to +8…+13 degrees, light precipitations are not ruled out, frosts in places at night. In the middle of the third decade, there may be several fine days, +12…+17 °C in the afternoon. 

The month will end with windy weather with little precipitation and daytime temperatures of +4…+9 degrees, at night frosts down to -2 °С. 

September 1966 was abnormally warm and dry in Novosibirsk. The average monthly temperature reached +13.8 degrees, which is 3.6 degrees higher than usual. The third ten-day period turned out to be the warmest, on the 26th the air warmed up to +30.6 degrees, which was a record for the last five-day period. On September 1, 2010, the maximum temperature reached +33.2 degrees, which became a monthly record. On the contrary, September 1992 became abnormally cold, the average temperature was more than 3 degrees below normal. On the 29th, a record frost was observed, in the morning the thermometer dropped to -6.9 degrees. Last year's September was somewhat colder than usual, precipitation fell within the long-term norm. The warmest day was marked on September 6th — +27.8 °C. The third decade turned out to be the coldest, with night frosts and a prevailing daytime temperature of +3…+8 degrees, mixed precipitation periodically fell out. 

In the south of Eastern Siberia expected average temperature of the month — +9…+10 °C, which is somewhat cooler than the norm. Estimated rainfall — 50-70 mm, which is close to normal, in some places excess moisture is possible. 

Unstable weather is expected in the first decade with intermittent rains and daytime temperature fluctuations from +18…+23 °C to + 9…+14 °С, with cold waves at night, slight frosts are possible. 

By mid-September, short-term rains are expected, in the afternoon +12…+17 degrees. At the end of the second decade — no significant precipitation, +17…+22 degrees in the daytime.

September will end with a cold wave with precipitation, +5…+10 degrees in the daytime, frosts are expected at night.

< strong>In the south of the Far East region the expected average temperature of the month — +13…+17 °C, which is within the average long-term values. Estimated rainfall — 80-110 mm, which is within the normal range, in the Khabarovsk Territory, excess moisture is possible in places.

The month will begin with warm and dry weather, during the day the air will warm up to +24…+29 degrees. By the end of the first decade there will be rains, heavy in some places, thunderstorms are possible, in the afternoon +17…+22 °С. At the end of the second and the beginning of the third ten-day period, warm and dry weather is expected to return, the daily temperature will be +21…+26 degrees. The month will end with unstable weather with intermittent rains, in the afternoon +15…+20 °C. 

In the Kaliningrad region (Kaliningrad)expected average temperature — +13…+14 degrees, which is within the normal range. Estimated rainfall — 90-100 mm, which is slightly more than usual. 

In the first days of the month, short rains are expected, during the day the maximum temperature — +17…+22 °С. By the end of the first ten days without precipitation, in the afternoon +19…+24 °C. 

In the middle of the month there will be intermittent rains, daily temperature — +15…+20 °С. By the end of the second decade — without precipitation, during the day the maximum temperature is +21…+26 degrees. By the middle of the third ten-day period, cloudy weather with clearings is expected, there will be short rains, in the afternoon +16 … + 21 ° С.  temperature — +13…+18 degrees. 

Last year's September was close to normal in terms of temperature. The average monthly temperature was +12.7 degrees. Little rain fell — about 25 mm, which is significantly less than the climatic norm. The warmest weather was observed on September 10 and 11, when the air warmed up to +26.3 and +26.8 degrees, respectively. 

In St. PetersburgExpected average September temperature &mdash ; +13…+14 °С, which is one degree higher than usual. Expected rainfall — 35-45 mm, which is slightly less than the climatic norm. 

In the first days of the month — no significant precipitation, +18…+23 °С in the daytime. By the middle of the first decade there will be short rains, during the day the maximum temperature will be +13…+18 degrees. At the end of the first ten days — without precipitation, in the daytime +15…+20 °C. 

By the middle of the month — cloudy with clearings, there will be short rains, the maximum temperature in the daytime will be +12…+17 °C. 

At the end of the second ten-day period, light rains are expected, the temperature during the day will be +14 … +19 ° С. By the beginning of the third decade, there will be short-term rains in places and it will be cool, +10…+15 °С in the afternoon. In the middle of the third ten-day period without precipitation, during the day the air will warm up to +17…+22 degrees. September will end with warm weather, in some places light rain: during the day the maximum temperature is +15 … +20 ° С. 

September 1993 was abnormally cold. The average monthly temperature was +7.3 degrees, which is 3.8 degrees lower than usual. Precipitation was less than usual. Only on the 2nd, the air warmed up to +15 degrees, which was the lowest value of the month. The hottest day in September was recorded on the 1st of 1992 — +30.4 degrees. Last year's month turned out to be colder than usual by more than 2 degrees, the amount of precipitation was slightly less than the norm. The warmest day was recorded on September 11th — the temperature was +21 degrees. 

In Moscow and the Moscow regionthe expected average monthly temperature — +13…+14 °С, which is one degree higher than usual. Expected rainfall — 80-90 mm, which is slightly more than the average long-term values. 

At the beginning of September it is dry and warm: the daytime temperature is +22…+27 °C. By the middle of the first decade, there will be short rains, thunderstorms are possible, in the afternoon +18…+23 °С. At the end of the first decade, intermittent rain in places, daytime temperature +14…+19 °С. By the beginning of the second ten-day period without precipitation, in the afternoon +16…+21 degrees.

In the middle of the month it will be cloudy with clearings, it will rain, the maximum daytime temperature will be +10…+15 degrees. By the end of the second ten-day period, partly cloudy weather is expected, without significant precipitation, during the day the air will warm up to +17…+22 degrees. 

At the beginning of the third decade there will be short rains, daytime temperature +11…+ 16 °C. September will end with warm and dry weather, the maximum daytime temperature is +16…+21 °C.

Very warm September was observed in 2018. The average monthly temperature was +14.6 degrees, which is 3.3 degrees higher than usual. This is the second warmest month with a long Indian summer after 1938, when the average monthly temperature reached +14.9 degrees due to the abnormally warm first half of the month. But last year's September, after a long break, became cold, with slightly more precipitation than the climatic norm. The average monthly temperature was +9.9 degrees, which is 2 degrees lower than usual. A short return of heat was observed at the beginning of the second decade, but a full-fledged Indian summer did not happen. On the 13th, in the afternoon, the air warmed up to +23.1 degrees, but since the middle of the month it has become significantly colder — by 10 degrees.

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